This year’s Oscars are less than a month away and with the nominations announced I decided to share who I think will win the golden statues this year. I will only be covering a few of the major categories. As of now, I have not seen these films nominated in acting categories: Bombshell, Harriet, Judy, Richard Jewell, and The Two Popes.
Here is a link for the full list of nominations, but I have listed the nominations for categories I am covering.
Best Adapted Screenplay
- The Irishman (Steven Zaillian)
- Jojo Rabbit (Taika Waititi)
- Joker (Todd Phillips and Scott Silver)
- Little Women (Greta Gerwig)
- The Two Popes (Anthony McCarten)
Who Will Win: Little Women
Who I Want to Win: Little Women
Greta Gerwig’s Little Women script makes the film the most effective it can be. Not only does the film have a unique structure, but that structure better impacts the story beats and characters in the film. Jojo Rabbit is a close second in terms of showing inventiveness in the script, but it’s such a shame that Lulu Wang’s The Farewell was snubbed in this category. That film has an incredibly touching and personal script and is the film I would have preferred to win if it was nominated here.
Best Original Screenplay
- 1917 (Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns)
- Knives Out (Rian Johnson)
- Marriage Story (Noah Baumbach)
- Parasite (Bong Joon-ho, Jin Won Han)
- Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood (Quentin Tarantino)
Who Will Win: Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
Who I Want to Win: Marriage Story
Hollywood loves Hollywood so I think Quentin Taratino’s nostalgia trip down 1960s Hollywood will appeal to Oscar voters. However, Taratino has already done a revisionist history script with Inglorious Basterds so it’s really nothing new from him. Besides acting, I think the biggest strength of Marriage Story is the script. Not only is Marriage Story expertly written, but the script the core of the movie.
Best Supporting Actor
- Al Pacino (The Irishman)
- Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)
- Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood)
- Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
- Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)
Who Will Win: Brad Pitt
Who I Want to Win: Tom Hanks
Brad Pitt was great in Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood, but I actually preferred Leo’s character to him. Regardless, I think Tom Hanks as Mister Rogers in Won’t You Be My Neighbor was the heart of that film. However, Tom Hanks already has two Oscars, and Pitt yet hasn’t got one for acting so I’m good with Pitt winning this one.
Best Supporting Actress
- Florence Pugh (Little Women)
- Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell)
- Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
- Margot Robbie (Bombshell)
- Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)
Who Will Win: Laura Dern
Who I Want to Win: Florence Pugh
Laura Dern undoubtedly deserves an Oscar, and her performance in Marriage Story is very good. However, it almost seems like she’s playing her Big Little Lies character as a divorce lawyer. I think Florence Pugh’s Amy served as a great foil to Saorise Ronan’s Jo. Plus she had more to do than Dern in both Marriage Story and Little Women. However my personal Best Supporting Actress pick is the snubbed Zhao Shuzhen who plays Nai Nai in The Farewell.
- Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
- Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory)
- Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
- Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)
- Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood)
Who Will Win: Joaquin Phoenix
Who I Want to Win: Adam Driver
Don’t get me wrong Joaquin Phoenix is phenomenal as Arthur Fleck/Joker. He transformed and had the chance to be very showy, but also pretty dark. However, just because a role is flashier than another doesn’t mean it’s the best. Adam Driver gives his career best performance in Marriage Story. His performance has still stuck with me, more than Phoenix’s has. And I must also shout out Antonio Banderas who gave a beautiful performance in Pain and Glory.
- Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
- Cynthia Ervio (Harriet)
- Renee Zellweger (Judy)
- Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
- Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
Who Will Win: Renee Zellweger
Who I Want to Win: Saoirse Ronan
As mentioned above, I have not seen Judy so I cannot comment on Renee Zellweger’s performance in it. I’m sure she’s great in the film though. Zellweger, however, already has an Oscar, while Saorise Ronan is only 25 years old and has been nominated for an Oscar four times already. Ronan is the one who carries Little Women and I think it’s about time she got her Oscar.
- Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)
- Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
- Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood)
- Sam Mendes (1917)
- Todd Phillips (Joker)
Who Will Win: Sam Mendes
Who I Want to Win: Bong Joon-ho
I think the big names of Quentin Tarantino and Martin Scorsese will cancel each other out. Because 1917 is such a technical achievement, I think Sam Mendes will be recognized for that. However, I think Bong Joon-ho showed utter mastery with Parasite and he deserves to be recognized for it, and I do think he has a good chance at winning this one.
- Ford v Ferrari
- Jojo Rabbit
- The Irishman
- Little Women
- Once Upon a Time in…Hollywood
- Marriage Story
Who Will Win: 1917
Who I Want to Win: Parasite
It’s looking like the Best Picture race will be 1917 vs Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood vs Parasite. As said before 1917 is such a spectacle and technical marvel, that I think it will ultimately take the top prize. However, Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood has been getting a lot of love at the other award shows. Parasite has been the most talked about movie this season and it just won Best Ensemble at the SAG awards so that also ups its chances. But since Best Picture is voted through a preferential ballot system, the choice is still anyone’s guess.
So those are my Oscar predictions! Do you agree with my predictions? And if not, who do you think/want to take the prize?